Almere City vs Heerenveen Prediction

Eredivisie 23/24 · Fri 3 May, 20:00
Almere City
11 Full time
Heerenveen
Almere City 1–1 Heerenveen

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (41%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 32%
Draw 27%
Away 41%

💡 Heerenveen have a slight edge — leaning Heerenveen, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 43.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 43.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1438 v 1471 Heerenveen rated higher
Form Index DDDLL v DDLWL Almere City 0.6 · Heerenveen 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1438 vs 1471).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Heerenveen
Form Index
Heerenveen
Goal expectation
Heerenveen
Home advantage
Almere City

Green = favours Almere City · Blue = favours Heerenveen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Almere CityDDDLL0.6 ppg
HeerenveenDDLWL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Almere City1438
Heerenveen1471
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model31% · 27% · 41%
Power Rating41% · 24% · 34%
Machine-learning21% · 30% · 50%

AI match preview

Almere City hosts Heerenveen in an Eredivisie clash where the visitors hold a slight edge with a 41% chance of victory, according to model projections. The match is expected to be competitive, with a close predicted scoreline of 1-1 and a 60% probability that both teams will find the net. Fans can anticipate a moderately open game, as there's a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored; remember, these are statistical forecasts and betting should be done responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.35 – 1.58

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%

No 40%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Almere City 1–1 Heerenveen
Dec 2023 Heerenveen 3–0 Almere City