Heracles vs Waalwijk Prediction

Eredivisie 23/24 · Sun 5 May, 12:15
Heracles
05 Full time
Waalwijk
Heracles 0–5 Waalwijk

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (47%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 47%
Draw 24%
Away 29%

💡 Heracles are favourites — about 47 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 52.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 52.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1427 v 1400 Heracles rated higher
Form Index LWWLL v DDLLD Heracles 1.2 · Waalwijk 0.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1427 vs 1400).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Heracles
Form Index
Heracles
Goal expectation
Heracles
Home advantage
Heracles

Green = favours Heracles · Blue = favours Waalwijk. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
HeraclesLWWLL1.2 ppg
WaalwijkDDLLD0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Heracles1427
Waalwijk1400
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model50% · 26% · 24%
Power Rating51% · 19% · 30%
Machine-learning55% · 21% · 25%

AI match preview

Heracles host Waalwijk in an Eredivisie clash where the home side holds a 47% chance of victory, slightly edging their visitors who stand at 29%. The model suggests a competitive encounter with an expected goals tally of 1.77 for Heracles and 1.19 for Waalwijk, making a 1-1 draw the most probable scoreline. With a 57% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and 59% chance both teams scoring, this match promises attacking intent—remember, these projections are statistical estimates, so please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.77 – 1.19

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 57%

Under 43%

Both teams to score

Yes 59%

No 41%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Heracles 0–5 Waalwijk
Jan 2024 Waalwijk 1–2 Heracles