AZ Alkmaar vs Twente Prediction

Eredivisie 23/24 · Sun 5 May, 16:45
AZ Alkmaar
21 Full time
Twente
AZ Alkmaar 2–1 Twente

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (43%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 43%
Draw 27%
Away 30%

💡 AZ Alkmaar have a slight edge — leaning AZ Alkmaar, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 46.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 46.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1588 v 1620 Twente rated higher
Form Index WLLWW v WDWLW AZ Alkmaar 1.8 · Twente 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1588 vs 1620).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Twente
Form Index
Twente
Goal expectation
AZ Alkmaar
Home advantage
AZ Alkmaar

Green = favours AZ Alkmaar · Blue = favours Twente. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AZ AlkmaarWLLWW1.8 ppg
TwenteWDWLW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
AZ Alkmaar1588
Twente1620
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model44% · 28% · 27%
Power Rating42% · 24% · 34%
Machine-learning41% · 29% · 30%

AI match preview

AZ Alkmaar hosts Twente in an Eredivisie clash where the home side holds a slight 43% probability of victory, though a draw and away win remain realistic outcomes at 27% and 30%, respectively. Both teams are projected to score, with a 56% chance of BTTS and an expected close match reflected in the most likely 1-1 scoreline. Over 2.5 goals is also a near-even possibility at 51%, so fans can anticipate a competitive encounter; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.55 – 1.18

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 51%

Under 49%

Both teams to score

Yes 56%

No 44%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 AZ Alkmaar 2–1 Twente
Jan 2024 Twente 2–1 AZ Alkmaar