Excelsior vs Nijmegen Prediction

Eredivisie 23/24 · Mon 6 May, 20:00
Excelsior
03 Full time
Nijmegen
Excelsior 0–3 Nijmegen

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (38%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 34%
Draw 28%
Away 38%

💡 Nijmegen have a slight edge — leaning Nijmegen, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 39.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1395 v 1551 Nijmegen rated higher
Form Index LLLWD v WDWDL Excelsior 0.8 · Nijmegen 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Excelsior v Nijmegen

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Why we predict this

  • Nijmegen is the stronger side on Power Rating (1551 vs 1395).
  • Nijmegen is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Nijmegen
Form Index
Nijmegen
Goal expectation
Nijmegen
Home advantage
Excelsior

Green = favours Excelsior · Blue = favours Nijmegen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ExcelsiorLLLWD0.8 ppg
NijmegenWDWDL1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Excelsior1395
Nijmegen1551
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model29% · 25% · 45%
Power Rating30% · 19% · 51%
Machine-learning20% · 44% · 36%

AI match preview

Excelsior and Nijmegen are set for a tightly contested Eredivisie clash, with the model slightly favoring an away win at 38% probability, though a draw remains a strong possibility. The expected goals suggest a competitive match with a predicted scoreline of 1-1, while over 2.5 goals and both teams to score are also likely outcomes at 63% and 65% respectively. These projections provide a statistical outlook but remember to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.45 – 1.82

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 63%

Under 37%

Both teams to score

Yes 65%

No 35%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Excelsior 0–3 Nijmegen
Aug 2023 Nijmegen 3–4 Excelsior