Excelsior vs Heracles Prediction

Eredivisie 23/24 · Sun 12 May, 14:30
Excelsior
40 Full time
Heracles
Excelsior 4–0 Heracles

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (51%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 51%
Draw 24%
Away 25%

💡 Excelsior are favourites — about 51 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 58.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 58.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1381 v 1399 Heracles rated higher
Form Index LLWDL v WWLLL Excelsior 0.8 · Heracles 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Excelsior v Heracles

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1381 vs 1399).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Heracles
Form Index
Heracles
Goal expectation
Excelsior
Home advantage
Excelsior

Green = favours Excelsior · Blue = favours Heracles. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ExcelsiorLLWDL0.8 ppg
HeraclesWWLLL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Excelsior1381
Heracles1399
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model48% · 27% · 25%
Power Rating44% · 23% · 34%
Machine-learning45% · 27% · 28%

AI match preview

Excelsior hold a slight advantage with a 51% probability of securing a home win against Heracles, though a draw or away victory remain plausible outcomes. The model predicts a relatively close contest with expected goals of 1.73 for Excelsior and 1.21 for Heracles, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline. With a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and 59% likelihood of both teams scoring, this match could offer an engaging, competitive encounter—remember, these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.73 – 1.21

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 59%

No 41%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Excelsior 4–0 Heracles
Sept 2023 Heracles 3–1 Excelsior