Go Ahead Eagles vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Eredivisie 23/24 · Sun 12 May, 14:30
Go Ahead Eagles
03 Full time
AZ Alkmaar
Go Ahead Eagles 0–3 AZ Alkmaar

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (49%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 25%
Draw 26%
Away 49%

💡 AZ Alkmaar are favourites — about 49 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 56.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 56.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1495 v 1597 AZ Alkmaar rated higher
Form Index DDLLD v LLWWW Go Ahead Eagles 0.6 · AZ Alkmaar 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Go Ahead Eagles v AZ Alkmaar

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Why we predict this

  • AZ Alkmaar is the stronger side on Power Rating (1597 vs 1495).
  • AZ Alkmaar is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
AZ Alkmaar
Form Index
AZ Alkmaar
Goal expectation
Go Ahead Eagles
Home advantage
Go Ahead Eagles

Green = favours Go Ahead Eagles · Blue = favours AZ Alkmaar. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Go Ahead EaglesDDLLD0.6 ppg
AZ AlkmaarLLWWW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Go Ahead Eagles1495
AZ Alkmaar1597
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model38% · 28% · 34%
Power Rating34% · 24% · 42%
Machine-learning17% · 36% · 48%

AI match preview

Go Ahead Eagles host AZ Alkmaar in an Eredivisie clash where the visitors hold a 49% chance of victory, according to the model, while a draw remains slightly more probable than a home win. Both teams are expected to score, with a predicted 1-1 scoreline and a 60% likelihood of BTTS, reflecting a closely contested encounter. Over 2.5 goals is also favored at 56%, but as always, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.50 – 1.41

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%

No 40%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Go Ahead Eagles 0–3 AZ Alkmaar
Aug 2023 AZ Alkmaar 5–1 Go Ahead Eagles