Utrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction

Eredivisie 23/24 · Sun 12 May, 14:30
Utrecht
01 Full time
Sparta Rotterdam
Utrecht 0–1 Sparta Rotterdam

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (49%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 49%
Draw 23%
Away 28%

💡 Utrecht are favourites — about 49 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 55.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 55.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1549 v 1499 Utrecht rated higher
Form Index WWWDW v WLWWL Utrecht 2.6 · Sparta Rotterdam 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Utrecht v Sparta Rotterdam

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Utrecht is the stronger side on Power Rating (1549 vs 1499).
  • Utrecht is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 1.8 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Utrecht
Form Index
Utrecht
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Utrecht

Green = favours Utrecht · Blue = favours Sparta Rotterdam. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
UtrechtWWWDW2.6 ppg
Sparta RotterdamWLWWL1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Utrecht1549
Sparta Rotterdam1499
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model38% · 27% · 35%
Power Rating55% · 17% · 28%
Machine-learning41% · 22% · 37%

AI match preview

Utrecht hosts Sparta Rotterdam in an Eredivisie clash where the home side holds a slight 49% chance of victory, though a draw or an away win remain plausible outcomes. The expected goals are closely matched at 1.52 for Utrecht and 1.46 for Sparta Rotterdam, with a 1-1 draw emerging as the most probable scoreline. With over 2.5 goals projected at 57% and both teams likely to score at 61%, fans can anticipate an open and competitive encounter. Remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.52 – 1.46

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 57%

Under 43%

Both teams to score

Yes 61%

No 39%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Utrecht 0–1 Sparta Rotterdam
Nov 2023 Sparta Rotterdam 1–2 Utrecht