Feyenoord vs Excelsior Prediction

Eredivisie 23/24 · Sun 19 May, 14:30
Feyenoord
40 Full time
Excelsior
Feyenoord 4–0 Excelsior

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (81%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 81%
Draw 11%
Away 8%

💡 Feyenoord are strong favourites — roughly 8 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 95.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 95.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1725 v 1398 Feyenoord rated higher
Form Index WWWWW v LWDLW Feyenoord 3.0 · Excelsior 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Feyenoord v Excelsior

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Feyenoord is the stronger side on Power Rating (1725 vs 1398).
  • Feyenoord is in clearly better recent form (3.0 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (3.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Feyenoord
Form Index
Feyenoord
Goal expectation
Feyenoord
Home advantage
Feyenoord

Green = favours Feyenoord · Blue = favours Excelsior. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FeyenoordWWWWW3.0 ppg
ExcelsiorLWDLW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Feyenoord1725
Excelsior1398
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model90% · 8% · 3%
Power Rating80% · 12% · 8%
Machine-learning88% · 4% · 9%

AI match preview

Feyenoord enter this Eredivisie clash as strong favorites with an 81% chance of securing a home win, backed by a high confidence level of 95/100. The model projects a dominant 3-0 victory, reflecting a significant expected goals advantage of 3.89 to 0.76, while the likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 84%. Although both teams scoring is slightly more uncertain at 53%, these statistical projections suggest a solid attacking display from Feyenoord—remember to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

3.89 – 0.76

Most likely score

3-0

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 84%

Under 16%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

De Kuip Rotterdam, Netherlands Capacity 47,500 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Feyenoord 4–0 Excelsior
Nov 2023 Excelsior 2–4 Feyenoord