Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen Prediction

Eredivisie 23/24 · Sun 19 May, 14:30
Sparta Rotterdam
21 Full time
Heerenveen
Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 Heerenveen

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (52%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 52%
Draw 22%
Away 26%

💡 Sparta Rotterdam are favourites — about 52 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 59.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 59.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1514 v 1447 Sparta Rotterdam rated higher
Form Index LWWLW v LWLDL Sparta Rotterdam 1.8 · Heerenveen 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sparta Rotterdam v Heerenveen

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Sparta Rotterdam is the stronger side on Power Rating (1514 vs 1447).
  • Sparta Rotterdam is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sparta Rotterdam
Form Index
Sparta Rotterdam
Goal expectation
Sparta Rotterdam
Home advantage
Sparta Rotterdam

Green = favours Sparta Rotterdam · Blue = favours Heerenveen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Sparta RotterdamLWWLW1.8 ppg
HeerenveenLWLDL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Sparta Rotterdam1514
Heerenveen1447
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model42% · 27% · 32%
Power Rating58% · 15% · 27%
Machine-learning43% · 22% · 35%

AI match preview

Sparta Rotterdam holds a slight statistical edge at 52% to claim victory against Heerenveen, with a moderate confidence level of 59 out of 100. The model projects a competitive encounter, estimating a most likely scoreline of 1-1, supported by expected goals of 1.65 for the home side and 1.41 for the visitors. With a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and 63% probability for both teams to score, fans can anticipate an open match, though these projections are based on probabilities—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.65 – 1.41

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 59%

Under 41%

Both teams to score

Yes 63%

No 37%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 Heerenveen
Aug 2023 Heerenveen 1–3 Sparta Rotterdam