Vitesse vs Ajax Prediction

Eredivisie 23/24 · Sun 19 May, 14:30
Vitesse
22 Full time
Ajax
Vitesse 2–2 Ajax

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (57%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 19%
Draw 24%
Away 57%

💡 Ajax are favourites — about 57 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 67.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 67.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1357 v 1573 Ajax rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 2.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Ajax is the stronger side on Power Rating (1573 vs 1357).
  • Ajax is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ajax
Form Index
Ajax
Goal expectation
Ajax
Home advantage
Vitesse

Green = favours Vitesse · Blue = favours Ajax. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VitesseLLWLW1.2 ppg
AjaxLWDWW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Vitesse1357
Ajax1573
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model19% · 22% · 60%
Power Rating26% · 14% · 61%
Machine-learning5% · 45% · 49%

AI match preview

Ajax visit Vitesse in this Eredivisie clash with a strong statistical edge, holding a 57% probability of an away win and a confidence rating of 67/100. The model predicts a competitive match with an expected goals tally favoring Ajax at 2.29 to Vitesse's 1.24, suggesting a likely 2-1 scoreline. With a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and 65% probability of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these projections are based on data and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.24 – 2.29

Most likely score

1-2

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 68%

Under 32%

Both teams to score

Yes 65%

No 35%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Vitesse 2–2 Ajax
Nov 2023 Ajax 5–0 Vitesse