Heracles vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction

Eredivisie 24/25 · Sat 11 Jan, 15:30
Heracles
11 Full time
Sparta Rotterdam
Heracles 1–1 Sparta Rotterdam

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (38%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 38%
Draw 26%
Away 36%

💡 Heracles have a slight edge — leaning Heracles, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 38.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 38.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1436 v 1407 Heracles rated higher
Form Index LDLDL v LLLDL Heracles 0.4 · Sparta Rotterdam 0.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1436 vs 1407).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Heracles
Form Index
Heracles
Goal expectation
Heracles
Home advantage
Heracles

Green = favours Heracles · Blue = favours Sparta Rotterdam. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
HeraclesLDLDL0.4 ppg
Sparta RotterdamLLLDL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Heracles1436
Sparta Rotterdam1407
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model38% · 30% · 32%
Power Rating51% · 19% · 30%
Machine-learning52% · 21% · 27%

AI match preview

Heracles host Sparta Rotterdam in what promises to be a closely contested Eredivisie clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 38% compared to 36% for the visitors. Expected goals are tight at 1.31 for Heracles and 1.17 for Sparta, and the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, reflecting the balanced nature of this matchup. With both teams showing a 52% chance for goals at both ends and a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals, fans can anticipate a competitive game; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.31 – 1.17

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 45%

Under 55%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 102+ matches)

HeraclesSparta Rotterdam
4.7 Corners 4.7
2.0 Cards 1.6
12.1 Fouls 9.4

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2025 Heracles 1–1 Sparta Rotterdam
Aug 2024 Sparta Rotterdam 0–0 Heracles