Zwolle vs Nijmegen Prediction

Eredivisie 24/25 · Sat 11 Jan, 19:00
Zwolle
01 Full time
Nijmegen
Zwolle 0–1 Nijmegen

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (42%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 42%
Draw 25%
Away 34%

💡 Zwolle have a slight edge — leaning Zwolle, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 44.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 44.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1461 v 1458 Zwolle rated higher
Form Index LWDLD v LLLDL Zwolle 1.0 · Nijmegen 0.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1461 vs 1458).
  • Zwolle is in clearly better recent form (1.0 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Zwolle
Goal expectation
Zwolle
Home advantage
Zwolle

Green = favours Zwolle · Blue = favours Nijmegen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ZwolleLWDLD1.0 ppg
NijmegenLLLDL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Zwolle1461
Nijmegen1458
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model46% · 29% · 25%
Power Rating47% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning62% · 13% · 25%

AI match preview

Zwolle host Nijmegen in an Eredivisie clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 42%, though a draw or away victory remain plausible outcomes. Expected goals suggest a tight contest, with Zwolle edging 1.48 to 1.04, and a 1-1 scoreline the most likely result. With a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% probability both teams score, this match promises competitive action—remember these are statistical projections and please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.04

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 46%

Under 54%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 102+ matches)

ZwolleNijmegen
3.8 Corners 5.1
1.8 Cards 1.7
10.9 Fouls 10.6

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2025 Zwolle 0–1 Nijmegen
Aug 2024 Nijmegen 1–0 Zwolle