Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Eredivisie 24/25 · Sat 18 Jan, 17:45
Utrecht
00 Full time
AZ Alkmaar
Utrecht 0–0 AZ Alkmaar

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (40%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 32%
Draw 27%
Away 40%

💡 AZ Alkmaar have a slight edge — leaning AZ Alkmaar, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 42.6/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1564 v 1566 AZ Alkmaar rated higher
Form Index DWDLW v WWWWD Utrecht 1.6 · AZ Alkmaar 2.6 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Utrecht v AZ Alkmaar

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1564 vs 1566).
  • AZ Alkmaar is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 1.6 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.3 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
AZ Alkmaar
Goal expectation
AZ Alkmaar
Home advantage
Utrecht

Green = favours Utrecht · Blue = favours AZ Alkmaar. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
UtrechtDWDLW1.6 ppg
AZ AlkmaarWWWWD2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Utrecht1564
AZ Alkmaar1566
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model19% · 22% · 59%
Power Rating47% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning20% · 37% · 43%

AI match preview

Utrecht hosts AZ Alkmaar in an Eredivisie clash where the model favors an away win with a 40% probability, though a draw or home victory remain plausible. The forecast suggests an open game with expected goals totaling 3.55 and a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals, highlighting the potential for multiple scoring opportunities. With a most likely scoreline of 1-2, fans should anticipate an engaging contest, but remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.26 – 2.29

Most likely score

1-2

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 69%

Under 31%

Both teams to score

Yes 65%

No 35%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2025 Utrecht 0–0 AZ Alkmaar
Sept 2024 AZ Alkmaar 1–2 Utrecht