Sparta Rotterdam vs Waalwijk Prediction

Eredivisie 24/25 · Sun 19 Jan, 19:00
Sparta Rotterdam
11 Full time
Waalwijk
Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 Waalwijk

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (53%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 53%
Draw 25%
Away 22%

💡 Sparta Rotterdam are favourites — about 53 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 60.6/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 60.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1410 v 1377 Sparta Rotterdam rated higher
Form Index LLDLD v DLLDL Sparta Rotterdam 0.4 · Waalwijk 0.4 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sparta Rotterdam v Waalwijk

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1410 vs 1377).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sparta Rotterdam
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Sparta Rotterdam

Green = favours Sparta Rotterdam · Blue = favours Waalwijk. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Sparta RotterdamLLDLD0.4 ppg
WaalwijkDLLDL0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Sparta Rotterdam1410
Waalwijk1377
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model36% · 27% · 36%
Power Rating52% · 18% · 30%
Machine-learning33% · 40% · 28%

AI match preview

Sparta Rotterdam hosts Waalwijk in an Eredivisie clash where the model slightly favors a home win with a 53% probability, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 25%. Both teams are projected to score evenly, reflected in the balanced expected goals of 1.48 each and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. With a 61% chance of both teams finding the net and a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals, this match could offer an open and competitive contest; remember these are statistical projections and gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.48

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 57%

Under 43%

Both teams to score

Yes 61%

No 39%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2025 Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 Waalwijk
Sept 2024 Waalwijk 1–2 Sparta Rotterdam