Heracles vs Utrecht Prediction

Eredivisie 24/25 · Fri 24 Jan, 19:00
Heracles
11 Full time
Utrecht
Heracles 1–1 Utrecht

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (54%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 23%
Draw 23%
Away 54%

💡 Utrecht are favourites — about 54 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 63.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 63.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1450 v 1562 Utrecht rated higher
Form Index LDLDW v WDLWD Heracles 1.0 · Utrecht 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Heracles v Utrecht

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Why we predict this

  • Utrecht is the stronger side on Power Rating (1562 vs 1450).
  • Utrecht is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Utrecht
Form Index
Utrecht
Goal expectation
Utrecht
Home advantage
Heracles

Green = favours Heracles · Blue = favours Utrecht. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
HeraclesLDLDW1.0 ppg
UtrechtWDLWD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Heracles1450
Utrecht1562
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model17% · 22% · 62%
Power Rating33% · 23% · 44%
Machine-learning17% · 16% · 67%

AI match preview

Heracles host Utrecht in an Eredivisie clash where the model favors an away win at 54%, though both sides have a 23% chance of securing a draw or home victory. With expected goals at 1.09 for Heracles and 2.21 for Utrecht, a 1-1 draw is the most likely scoreline despite the confidence leaning towards Utrecht. The match also shows a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring; remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.09 – 2.21

Most likely score

1-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 64%

Under 36%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%

No 40%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2025 Heracles 1–1 Utrecht
Nov 2024 Utrecht 1–0 Heracles