Groningen vs Heerenveen Prediction

Eredivisie 24/25 · Sat 25 Jan, 20:00
Groningen
10 Full time
Heerenveen
Groningen 1–0 Heerenveen

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (48%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 48%
Draw 27%
Away 25%

💡 Groningen are favourites — about 48 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 53.8/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 53.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1444 v 1468 Heerenveen rated higher
Form Index WDLDL v WWLWL Groningen 1.0 · Heerenveen 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Groningen v Heerenveen

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1444 vs 1468).
  • Heerenveen is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Heerenveen
Form Index
Heerenveen
Goal expectation
Groningen
Home advantage
Groningen

Green = favours Groningen · Blue = favours Heerenveen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GroningenWDLDL1.0 ppg
HeerenveenWWLWL1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Groningen1444
Heerenveen1468
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model67% · 24% · 9%
Power Rating43% · 23% · 34%
Machine-learning55% · 21% · 24%

AI match preview

Groningen hosts Heerenveen in an Eredivisie clash where the model favors a narrow home win with a 48% probability and an expected scoreline of 1-0. The match is projected to be low-scoring, with just a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and only a 35% likelihood of both teams scoring. These projections are based on statistical models—please remember to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.79 – 0.53

Most likely score

1-0

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 41%

Under 59%

Both teams to score

Yes 35%

No 65%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2025 Groningen 1–0 Heerenveen
Sept 2024 Heerenveen 2–1 Groningen