Almere City vs Waalwijk Prediction

Eredivisie 24/25 · Sun 2 Feb, 11:15
Almere City
14 Full time
Waalwijk
Almere City 1–4 Waalwijk

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (38%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 38%
Draw 26%
Away 36%

💡 Almere City have a slight edge — leaning Almere City, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 38.7/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 38.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1372 v 1398 Waalwijk rated higher
Form Index LLWDL v LDLDW Almere City 0.8 · Waalwijk 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1372 vs 1398).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Waalwijk
Form Index
Waalwijk
Goal expectation
Waalwijk
Home advantage
Almere City

Green = favours Almere City · Blue = favours Waalwijk. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Almere CityLLWDL0.8 ppg
WaalwijkLDLDW1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Almere City1372
Waalwijk1398
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model28% · 25% · 47%
Power Rating43% · 24% · 34%
Machine-learning31% · 25% · 45%

AI match preview

Almere City and Waalwijk are set for a closely contested Eredivisie clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 38% probability, while a draw or away win remain strong possibilities. The expected goals suggest a tight game, likely ending 1-1, supported by a 65% chance both teams score and a 64% likelihood of over 2.5 goals. These projections reflect statistical trends and should be considered with caution—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.42 – 1.87

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 64%

Under 36%

Both teams to score

Yes 65%

No 35%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2025 Almere City 1–4 Waalwijk
Nov 2024 Waalwijk 2–0 Almere City