Ajax vs Feyenoord Prediction

Eredivisie 24/25 · Sun 2 Feb, 13:30
Ajax
21 Full time
Feyenoord
Ajax 2–1 Feyenoord

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (50%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 50%
Draw 24%
Away 26%

💡 Ajax are favourites — about 50 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 56.4/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 56.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1632 v 1581 Ajax rated higher
Form Index LWWWW v WWLLD Ajax 2.4 · Feyenoord 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Ajax v Feyenoord

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Why we predict this

  • Ajax is the stronger side on Power Rating (1632 vs 1581).
  • Ajax is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ajax
Form Index
Ajax
Goal expectation
Ajax
Home advantage
Ajax

Green = favours Ajax · Blue = favours Feyenoord. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AjaxLWWWW2.4 ppg
FeyenoordWWLLD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Ajax1632
Feyenoord1581
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model48% · 25% · 26%
Power Rating55% · 17% · 28%
Machine-learning61% · 19% · 20%

AI match preview

Ajax and Feyenoord face off in what promises to be a closely contested Eredivisie clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 50% probability. The expected goals suggest a moderately attacking game, with Ajax projected to score 1.85 goals against Feyenoord's 1.33, while a 1-1 draw remains the most likely scoreline. With over 2.5 goals and both teams to score probabilities above 60%, fans can anticipate an engaging match, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.85 – 1.33

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 62%

Under 38%

Both teams to score

Yes 63%

No 37%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Johan Cruijff ArenA Amsterdam, Netherlands Capacity 55,865 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2025 Ajax 2–1 Feyenoord
Oct 2024 Feyenoord 0–2 Ajax