Willem II vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Eredivisie 24/25 · Sun 2 Feb, 19:00
Willem II
02 Full time
AZ Alkmaar
Willem II 0–2 AZ Alkmaar

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (51%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 24%
Draw 25%
Away 51%

💡 AZ Alkmaar are favourites — about 51 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 57.8/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 57.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1461 v 1550 AZ Alkmaar rated higher
Form Index WWLDL v WWDDL Willem II 1.4 · AZ Alkmaar 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Willem II v AZ Alkmaar

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Why we predict this

  • AZ Alkmaar is the stronger side on Power Rating (1550 vs 1461).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
AZ Alkmaar
Form Index
AZ Alkmaar
Goal expectation
AZ Alkmaar
Home advantage
Willem II

Green = favours Willem II · Blue = favours AZ Alkmaar. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Willem IIWWLDL1.4 ppg
AZ AlkmaarWWDDL1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Willem II1461
AZ Alkmaar1550
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model27% · 33% · 40%
Power Rating35% · 25% · 40%
Machine-learning35% · 14% · 51%

AI match preview

Willem II face AZ Alkmaar in an Eredivisie clash where the model favors an away win with a 51% probability, though a draw remains a close second at 25%. The expected goals suggest a tight contest (0.93 for Willem II and 1.20 for AZ), aligning with the most likely scoreline of 1-1. With just a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% probability of both teams scoring, this matchup could hinge on a narrow margin; remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.93 – 1.20

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 36%

Under 64%

Both teams to score

Yes 44%

No 56%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2025 Willem II 0–2 AZ Alkmaar
Nov 2024 AZ Alkmaar 1–2 Willem II