PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II Prediction

Eredivisie 24/25 · Sat 8 Feb, 17:45
PSV Eindhoven
11 Full time
Willem II
PSV Eindhoven 1–1 Willem II

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (81%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 81%
Draw 12%
Away 7%

💡 PSV Eindhoven are strong favourites — roughly 8 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 95.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 95.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1652 v 1446 PSV Eindhoven rated higher
Form Index WDLWD v WLDLL PSV Eindhoven 1.6 · Willem II 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on PSV Eindhoven v Willem II

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Why we predict this

  • PSV Eindhoven is the stronger side on Power Rating (1652 vs 1446).
  • PSV Eindhoven is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (3.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
PSV Eindhoven
Form Index
PSV Eindhoven
Goal expectation
PSV Eindhoven
Home advantage
PSV Eindhoven

Green = favours PSV Eindhoven · Blue = favours Willem II. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
PSV EindhovenWDLWD1.6 ppg
Willem IIWLDLL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
PSV Eindhoven1652
Willem II1446
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model85% · 11% · 4%
Power Rating73% · 12% · 15%
Machine-learning79% · 19% · 2%

AI match preview

PSV Eindhoven enter this Eredivisie clash as strong favorites, with an 81% probability of securing a home win against Willem II, backed by a high confidence level of 95/100. The model projects a dominant 3-0 victory for PSV, supported by expected goals of 3.23 to 0.68, indicating a likely offensive display and a low chance for Willem II to score. While over 2.5 goals appears probable at 75%, BTTS sits near even at 48%, highlighting some uncertainty in both teams finding the net—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

3.23 – 0.68

Most likely score

3-0

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 75%

Under 25%

Both teams to score

Yes 48%

No 52%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Philips Stadion Eindhoven, Netherlands Capacity 35,000 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2025 PSV Eindhoven 1–1 Willem II
Sept 2024 Willem II 0–2 PSV Eindhoven