Groningen vs Nijmegen Prediction

Eredivisie 24/25 · Sat 8 Feb, 19:00
Groningen
21 Full time
Nijmegen
Groningen 2–1 Nijmegen

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (38%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 38%
Draw 29%
Away 32%

💡 Groningen have a slight edge — leaning Groningen, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 39.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1445 v 1491 Nijmegen rated higher
Form Index DLWDL v DLWWD Groningen 1.0 · Nijmegen 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Nijmegen is the stronger side on Power Rating (1491 vs 1445).
  • Nijmegen is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Nijmegen
Form Index
Nijmegen
Goal expectation
Groningen
Home advantage
Groningen

Green = favours Groningen · Blue = favours Nijmegen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GroningenDLWDL1.0 ppg
NijmegenDLWWD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Groningen1445
Nijmegen1491
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model48% · 36% · 16%
Power Rating40% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning45% · 20% · 35%

AI match preview

Groningen hosts Nijmegen in an Eredivisie clash where the model slightly favors a home win with a 38% probability, though a draw or away victory remain plausible outcomes. Expected goals suggest Groningen may edge the contest offensively (1.08 vs. 0.51), but the most probable scoreline is a goalless draw, reflecting a potentially tight match. With low chances for over 2.5 goals (21%) and both teams scoring (28%), this game could hinge on a single moment; remember these are statistical projections and please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.08 – 0.51

Most likely score

0-0

22% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 21%

Under 79%

Both teams to score

Yes 28%

No 72%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2025 Groningen 2–1 Nijmegen
Nov 2024 Nijmegen 6–0 Groningen