AZ Alkmaar vs Zwolle Prediction

Eredivisie 24/25 · Sun 9 Feb, 15:45
AZ Alkmaar
20 Full time
Zwolle
AZ Alkmaar 2–0 Zwolle

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (63%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 63%
Draw 21%
Away 16%

💡 AZ Alkmaar are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 74.7/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 74.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1566 v 1495 AZ Alkmaar rated higher
Form Index WDDLW v DLWWD AZ Alkmaar 1.6 · Zwolle 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on AZ Alkmaar v Zwolle

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • AZ Alkmaar is the stronger side on Power Rating (1566 vs 1495).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
AZ Alkmaar
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
AZ Alkmaar
Home advantage
AZ Alkmaar

Green = favours AZ Alkmaar · Blue = favours Zwolle. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AZ AlkmaarWDDLW1.6 ppg
ZwolleDLWWD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
AZ Alkmaar1566
Zwolle1495
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model57% · 25% · 17%
Power Rating59% · 15% · 27%
Machine-learning51% · 34% · 15%

AI match preview

AZ Alkmaar enters this Eredivisie clash with a 63% probability of securing a home win against Zwolle, supported by an expected goals advantage of 1.83 to 0.92. While the model favors a home victory, the most likely scoreline remains a tight 1-1 draw, reflecting a competitive encounter. With a 52% chance each for over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, fans can anticipate an engaging match, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.83 – 0.92

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 52%

Under 48%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2025 AZ Alkmaar 2–0 Zwolle
Sept 2024 Zwolle 1–2 AZ Alkmaar