Zwolle vs Ajax Prediction

Eredivisie 24/25 · Sun 9 Mar, 13:30
Zwolle
01 Full time
Ajax
Zwolle 0–1 Ajax

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (63%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 17%
Draw 19%
Away 63%

💡 Ajax are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 75.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 75.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1467 v 1671 Ajax rated higher
Form Index WDLDL v WWWWW Zwolle 1.0 · Ajax 3.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Ajax is the stronger side on Power Rating (1671 vs 1467).
  • Ajax is in clearly better recent form (3.0 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ajax
Form Index
Ajax
Goal expectation
Ajax
Home advantage
Zwolle

Green = favours Zwolle · Blue = favours Ajax. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ZwolleWDLDL1.0 ppg
AjaxWWWWW3.0 ppg
Power Rating
Zwolle1467
Ajax1671
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model18% · 25% · 57%
Power Rating27% · 14% · 59%
Machine-learning12% · 10% · 79%

AI match preview

Zwolle host Ajax in an Eredivisie clash where the visitors hold a 63% chance of victory, according to model projections, with a confidence rating of 75.1 out of 100. The expected goals suggest Ajax may edge the scoring with 1.87 expected compared to Zwolle's 0.96, yet the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw. With a 54% probability for both over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, this match could offer an entertaining contest, though these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.96 – 1.87

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 54%

Under 46%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2025 Zwolle 0–1 Ajax
Nov 2024 Ajax 2–0 Zwolle