Utrecht vs Nijmegen Prediction

Eredivisie 24/25 · Sat 15 Mar, 15:30
Utrecht
01 Full time
Nijmegen
Utrecht 0–1 Nijmegen

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (55%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 55%
Draw 23%
Away 22%

💡 Utrecht are favourites — about 55 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 63.8/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 63.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1562 v 1460 Utrecht rated higher
Form Index DLDWW v LDLDL Utrecht 1.6 · Nijmegen 0.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Utrecht v Nijmegen

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Why we predict this

  • Utrecht is the stronger side on Power Rating (1562 vs 1460).
  • Utrecht is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Utrecht
Form Index
Utrecht
Goal expectation
Utrecht
Home advantage
Utrecht

Green = favours Utrecht · Blue = favours Nijmegen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
UtrechtDLDWW1.6 ppg
NijmegenLDLDL0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Utrecht1562
Nijmegen1460
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model42% · 30% · 28%
Power Rating64% · 12% · 24%
Machine-learning62% · 22% · 16%

AI match preview

Utrecht holds a slight edge with a 55% chance to secure a home victory against Nijmegen, while a draw or away win remain plausible outcomes at 23% and 22%, respectively. The expected goals suggest a tight contest, with both sides likely to find the net, reflected in a 52% probability for BTTS and a most probable scoreline of 1-1. With a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals, this matchup could see moderate scoring, but as always, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.39 – 1.11

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 45%

Under 55%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2025 Utrecht 0–1 Nijmegen
Nov 2024 Nijmegen 1–2 Utrecht