NAC Breda vs Groningen Prediction

Eredivisie 24/25 · Sat 29 Mar, 15:30
NAC Breda
11 Full time
Groningen
NAC Breda 1–1 Groningen

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (39%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 39%
Draw 28%
Away 33%

💡 NAC Breda have a slight edge — leaning NAC Breda, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 40.7/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 40.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1431 v 1485 Groningen rated higher
Form Index LDLDD v LWWDW NAC Breda 0.6 · Groningen 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on NAC Breda v Groningen

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Why we predict this

  • Groningen is the stronger side on Power Rating (1485 vs 1431).
  • Groningen is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Groningen
Form Index
Groningen
Goal expectation
NAC Breda
Home advantage
NAC Breda

Green = favours NAC Breda · Blue = favours Groningen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NAC BredaLDLDD0.6 ppg
GroningenLWWDW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
NAC Breda1431
Groningen1485
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model55% · 27% · 18%
Power Rating38% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning45% · 22% · 33%

AI match preview

NAC Breda hosts Groningen in an Eredivisie clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 39% chance of victory, while a draw and away win are also well within reach at 28% and 33%, respectively. The expected goals suggest Breda may lead with 1.69 to Groningen's 0.89, but the most probable scoreline is a balanced 1-1 draw. With a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% probability of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate a competitive encounter—remember, these projections are statistical estimates; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.69 – 0.89

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2025 NAC Breda 1–1 Groningen
Aug 2024 Groningen 4–1 NAC Breda