Nijmegen vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Eredivisie 24/25 · Sat 29 Mar, 20:00
Nijmegen
33 Full time
AZ Alkmaar
Nijmegen 3–3 AZ Alkmaar

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (46%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 28%
Draw 25%
Away 46%

💡 AZ Alkmaar are favourites — about 46 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 51.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 51.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1476 v 1568 AZ Alkmaar rated higher
Form Index DLDLW v WWWLD Nijmegen 1.0 · AZ Alkmaar 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Nijmegen v AZ Alkmaar

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Why we predict this

  • AZ Alkmaar is the stronger side on Power Rating (1568 vs 1476).
  • AZ Alkmaar is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
AZ Alkmaar
Form Index
AZ Alkmaar
Goal expectation
AZ Alkmaar
Home advantage
Nijmegen

Green = favours Nijmegen · Blue = favours AZ Alkmaar. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NijmegenDLDLW1.0 ppg
AZ AlkmaarWWWLD2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Nijmegen1476
AZ Alkmaar1568
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model33% · 27% · 40%
Power Rating35% · 25% · 41%
Machine-learning30% · 18% · 52%

AI match preview

Nijmegen hosts AZ Alkmaar in an Eredivisie clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 46%, though a draw or home victory remain plausible outcomes. Both teams are projected to score, with a 62% chance of BTTS and a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals, suggesting an open and entertaining contest. The most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, highlighting the competitive nature of this fixture. These projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.58

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 58%

Under 42%

Both teams to score

Yes 62%

No 38%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2025 Nijmegen 3–3 AZ Alkmaar
Aug 2024 AZ Alkmaar 1–0 Nijmegen