AZ Alkmaar vs Feyenoord Prediction

Eredivisie 24/25 · Sat 5 Apr, 16:30
AZ Alkmaar
01 Full time
Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar 0–1 Feyenoord

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (39%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 33%
Draw 27%
Away 39%

💡 Feyenoord have a slight edge — leaning Feyenoord, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 41.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 41.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1560 v 1620 Feyenoord rated higher
Form Index WLDDD v WDWWW AZ Alkmaar 1.2 · Feyenoord 2.6 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on AZ Alkmaar v Feyenoord

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Why we predict this

  • Feyenoord is the stronger side on Power Rating (1620 vs 1560).
  • Feyenoord is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Feyenoord
Form Index
Feyenoord
Goal expectation
Feyenoord
Home advantage
AZ Alkmaar

Green = favours AZ Alkmaar · Blue = favours Feyenoord. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AZ AlkmaarWLDDD1.2 ppg
FeyenoordWDWWW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
AZ Alkmaar1560
Feyenoord1620
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model30% · 25% · 45%
Power Rating37% · 27% · 36%
Machine-learning21% · 31% · 48%

AI match preview

AZ Alkmaar host Feyenoord in a tightly contested Eredivisie clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 39%, though a draw and home victory remain plausible with 27% and 33% probabilities respectively. Both sides are expected to find the net, with a 68% chance of BTTS and a 66% likelihood of over 2.5 goals, pointing to an open and attacking encounter. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, but given the close margins, fans should anticipate an exciting match while remembering these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.53 – 1.88

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 66%

Under 34%

Both teams to score

Yes 68%

No 32%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2025 AZ Alkmaar 0–1 Feyenoord
Nov 2024 Feyenoord 3–2 AZ Alkmaar