Groningen vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction

Eredivisie 24/25 · Sat 5 Apr, 20:00
Groningen
13 Full time
PSV Eindhoven
Groningen 1–3 PSV Eindhoven

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (58%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 22%
Draw 19%
Away 58%

💡 PSV Eindhoven are favourites — about 58 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 68.4/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 68.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1476 v 1625 PSV Eindhoven rated higher
Form Index WDWDL v DLWWL Groningen 1.6 · PSV Eindhoven 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Groningen v PSV Eindhoven

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Why we predict this

  • PSV Eindhoven is the stronger side on Power Rating (1625 vs 1476).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
PSV Eindhoven
Form Index
Groningen
Goal expectation
PSV Eindhoven
Home advantage
Groningen

Green = favours Groningen · Blue = favours PSV Eindhoven. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GroningenWDWDL1.6 ppg
PSV EindhovenDLWWL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Groningen1476
PSV Eindhoven1625
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model28% · 31% · 41%
Power Rating31% · 19% · 50%
Machine-learning32% · 6% · 62%

AI match preview

Groningen hosts PSV Eindhoven in an Eredivisie clash where the model favors an away win with a 58% probability, though a draw remains a plausible outcome given the close expected goals tally of 1.06 to 1.30. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, reflecting a competitive match that could see both teams finding the net, supported by a 49% chance of BTTS. With just a 42% probability for over 2.5 goals, expect a moderately paced game; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.06 – 1.30

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 42%

Under 58%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2025 Groningen 1–3 PSV Eindhoven
Nov 2024 PSV Eindhoven 5–0 Groningen