Utrecht vs Groningen Prediction

Eredivisie 24/25 · Sun 13 Apr, 12:15
Utrecht
31 Full time
Groningen
Utrecht 3–1 Groningen

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (56%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 56%
Draw 23%
Away 21%

💡 Utrecht are favourites — about 56 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 65.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 65.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1558 v 1463 Utrecht rated higher
Form Index WWLWD v DWDLL Utrecht 2.0 · Groningen 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Utrecht v Groningen

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Why we predict this

  • Utrecht is the stronger side on Power Rating (1558 vs 1463).
  • Utrecht is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Utrecht
Form Index
Utrecht
Goal expectation
Utrecht
Home advantage
Utrecht

Green = favours Utrecht · Blue = favours Groningen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
UtrechtWWLWD2.0 ppg
GroningenDWDLL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Utrecht1558
Groningen1463
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model53% · 26% · 21%
Power Rating63% · 13% · 25%
Machine-learning68% · 19% · 13%

AI match preview

Utrecht holds a 56% chance of securing a home win against Groningen, with the model suggesting a moderately confident outcome given the 65/100 confidence rating. Expected goals favor Utrecht at 1.85 to Groningen’s 1.10, yet the most likely scoreline remains a balanced 1-1 draw, highlighting potential competitiveness. With over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring probabilities just above 55%, fans can anticipate an engaging match, though these projections are statistical estimates and all betting should be approached responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.85 – 1.10

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 58%

No 42%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2025 Utrecht 3–1 Groningen
Oct 2024 Groningen 0–1 Utrecht