Groningen vs Heracles Prediction

Eredivisie 24/25 · Wed 23 Apr, 20:00
Groningen
41 Full time
Heracles
Groningen 4–1 Heracles

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (47%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 47%
Draw 28%
Away 25%

💡 Groningen are favourites — about 47 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 53.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 53.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1454 v 1491 Heracles rated higher
Form Index WDLLL v LDWDW Groningen 0.8 · Heracles 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Groningen v Heracles

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1454 vs 1491).
  • Heracles is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Heracles
Form Index
Heracles
Goal expectation
Groningen
Home advantage
Groningen

Green = favours Groningen · Blue = favours Heracles. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GroningenWDLLL0.8 ppg
HeraclesLDWDW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Groningen1454
Heracles1491
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model56% · 32% · 12%
Power Rating41% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning45% · 24% · 30%

AI match preview

Groningen holds a 47% chance of securing a home win against Heracles, with the model projecting a tight 1-0 scoreline based on expected goals of 1.31 to 0.48. The probabilities suggest a low-scoring affair, with just a 27% chance of over 2.5 goals and only 29% likelihood of both teams scoring. These projections are statistical estimates and should be considered carefully; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.31 – 0.48

Most likely score

1-0

21% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 27%

Under 73%

Both teams to score

Yes 29%

No 71%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2025 Groningen 4–1 Heracles
Jan 2025 Heracles 1–1 Groningen