Nijmegen vs Willem II Prediction

Eredivisie 24/25 · Sat 3 May, 16:30
Nijmegen
11 Full time
Willem II
Nijmegen 1–1 Willem II

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (64%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 64%
Draw 19%
Away 17%

💡 Nijmegen are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 77.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 77.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1461 v 1360 Nijmegen rated higher
Form Index WDLWL v LLLLL Nijmegen 1.4 · Willem II 0.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Nijmegen is the stronger side on Power Rating (1461 vs 1360).
  • Nijmegen is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Nijmegen
Form Index
Nijmegen
Goal expectation
Nijmegen
Home advantage
Nijmegen

Green = favours Nijmegen · Blue = favours Willem II. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NijmegenWDLWL1.4 ppg
Willem IILLLLL0.0 ppg
Power Rating
Nijmegen1461
Willem II1360
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model62% · 22% · 16%
Power Rating64% · 12% · 24%
Machine-learning77% · 13% · 10%

AI match preview

Nijmegen enters this Eredivisie clash with a strong 64% probability of securing a home win against Willem II, supported by an expected goals tally of 2.17 to 1.03. Despite the home advantage, the model also suggests a notable chance of a draw at 19%, with the most likely scoreline being a tight 1-1. Fans can anticipate a game with a 62% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance both teams will score, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.17 – 1.03

Most likely score

1-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 62%

Under 38%

Both teams to score

Yes 58%

No 42%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Nijmegen 1–1 Willem II
Dec 2024 Willem II 4–1 Nijmegen