Groningen vs Waalwijk Prediction

Eredivisie 24/25 · Sat 3 May, 20:00
Groningen
61 Full time
Waalwijk
Groningen 6–1 Waalwijk

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (64%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 64%
Draw 21%
Away 15%

💡 Groningen are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 75.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 75.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1472 v 1382 Groningen rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 0.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Groningen is the stronger side on Power Rating (1472 vs 1382).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Groningen
Form Index
Groningen
Goal expectation
Groningen
Home advantage
Groningen

Green = favours Groningen · Blue = favours Waalwijk. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GroningenDLLLW0.8 ppg
WaalwijkLDDLL0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Groningen1472
Waalwijk1382
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model59% · 26% · 15%
Power Rating62% · 13% · 25%
Machine-learning57% · 29% · 14%

AI match preview

Groningen enters this Eredivisie clash with a strong 64% probability of securing a home win against Waalwijk, backed by an expected goals advantage of 1.76 to 0.78. A tight 1-0 scoreline appears most likely, with under 2.5 goals and both teams not scoring being the marginally favored outcomes. Remember, these projections are based on statistical models and should be used responsibly when considering any bets (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.76 – 0.78

Most likely score

1-0

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 47%

Under 53%

Both teams to score

Yes 46%

No 54%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Groningen 6–1 Waalwijk
Aug 2024 Waalwijk 1–2 Groningen