Go Ahead Eagles vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Eredivisie 24/25 · Sun 4 May, 14:30
Go Ahead Eagles
03 Full time
AZ Alkmaar
Go Ahead Eagles 0–3 AZ Alkmaar

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (41%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 36%
Draw 23%
Away 41%

💡 AZ Alkmaar have a slight edge — leaning AZ Alkmaar, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 43.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 43.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1538 v 1533 Go Ahead Eagles rated higher
Form Index WLDDD v DDLLD Go Ahead Eagles 1.2 · AZ Alkmaar 0.6 ppg
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1538 vs 1533).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Go Ahead Eagles
Goal expectation
Go Ahead Eagles
Home advantage
Go Ahead Eagles

Green = favours Go Ahead Eagles · Blue = favours AZ Alkmaar. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Go Ahead EaglesWLDDD1.2 ppg
AZ AlkmaarDDLLD0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Go Ahead Eagles1538
AZ Alkmaar1533
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model38% · 28% · 34%
Power Rating48% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning56% · 15% · 29%

AI match preview

Go Ahead Eagles host AZ Alkmaar in an Eredivisie clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 41% probability, though a draw remains a strong possibility with a 23% chance. Both teams are projected to score close to 1.5 goals each, suggesting a tightly contested match likely to end around 1-1. With over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 60%, expect an open game, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.51 – 1.42

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%

No 40%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Go Ahead Eagles 0–3 AZ Alkmaar
Oct 2024 AZ Alkmaar 2–2 Go Ahead Eagles