Waalwijk vs Heerenveen Prediction

Eredivisie 24/25 · Sat 10 May, 16:30
Waalwijk
31 Full time
Heerenveen
Waalwijk 3–1 Heerenveen

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (41%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 36%
Draw 23%
Away 41%

💡 Heerenveen have a slight edge — leaning Heerenveen, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 43.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 43.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1370 v 1474 Heerenveen rated higher
Form Index 0.4 v 1.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Heerenveen is the stronger side on Power Rating (1474 vs 1370).
  • Heerenveen is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.7 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Heerenveen
Form Index
Heerenveen
Goal expectation
Waalwijk
Home advantage
Waalwijk

Green = favours Waalwijk · Blue = favours Heerenveen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
WaalwijkDDLLL0.4 ppg
HeerenveenLWLWW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Waalwijk1370
Heerenveen1474
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model51% · 27% · 22%
Power Rating34% · 23% · 43%
Machine-learning42% · 16% · 42%

AI match preview

Waalwijk hosts Heerenveen in an Eredivisie clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 41%, though a draw remains a plausible outcome with a 23% probability. Expected goals suggest a modest attacking edge for Waalwijk (1.73 vs. 1.09), but the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 stalemate. With over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 56%, this match could offer some goalmouth action—remember these projections are statistical estimates and please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.73 – 1.09

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 54%

Under 46%

Both teams to score

Yes 56%

No 44%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Waalwijk 3–1 Heerenveen
Nov 2024 Heerenveen 1–1 Waalwijk