AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen Prediction

Eredivisie 24/25 · Sun 11 May, 16:45
AZ Alkmaar
30 Full time
Groningen
AZ Alkmaar 3–0 Groningen

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (58%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 58%
Draw 23%
Away 19%

💡 AZ Alkmaar are favourites — about 58 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 68.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 68.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1556 v 1484 AZ Alkmaar rated higher
Form Index DLLDW v LLLWW AZ Alkmaar 1.0 · Groningen 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on AZ Alkmaar v Groningen

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • AZ Alkmaar is the stronger side on Power Rating (1556 vs 1484).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
AZ Alkmaar
Form Index
Groningen
Goal expectation
AZ Alkmaar
Home advantage
AZ Alkmaar

Green = favours AZ Alkmaar · Blue = favours Groningen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AZ AlkmaarDLLDW1.0 ppg
GroningenLLLWW1.2 ppg
Power Rating
AZ Alkmaar1556
Groningen1484
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model69% · 20% · 11%
Power Rating59% · 15% · 27%
Machine-learning61% · 27% · 12%

AI match preview

AZ Alkmaar hosts Groningen in an Eredivisie clash where the home side holds a 58% probability of securing victory, backed by an expected goals tally of 2.22 compared to Groningen's 0.79. The model favors a 2-0 win for AZ, with a 58% chance the match will see over 2.5 goals and an even 50% likelihood of both teams scoring. These projections highlight statistical tendencies and should be used responsibly—gamble only if you're 18 or older.

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.22 – 0.79

Most likely score

2-0

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 58%

Under 42%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 AZ Alkmaar 3–0 Groningen
Aug 2024 Groningen 0–0 AZ Alkmaar