Groningen vs Ajax Prediction

Eredivisie 24/25 · Wed 14 May, 20:00
Groningen
22 Full time
Ajax
Groningen 2–2 Ajax

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (54%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 25%
Draw 21%
Away 54%

💡 Ajax are favourites — about 54 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 62.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 62.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1472 v 1636 Ajax rated higher
Form Index LLWWL v WWLDL Groningen 1.2 · Ajax 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Groningen v Ajax

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Ajax is the stronger side on Power Rating (1636 vs 1472).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Ajax
Form Index
Ajax
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Groningen

Green = favours Groningen · Blue = favours Ajax. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GroningenLLWWL1.2 ppg
AjaxWWLDL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Groningen1472
Ajax1636
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model33% · 34% · 34%
Power Rating30% · 18% · 52%
Machine-learning36% · 6% · 58%

AI match preview

Groningen hosts Ajax in an Eredivisie clash where the model favors an away win at 54%, though a draw remains a strong possibility given the closely matched expected goals of just over one each. The most likely scoreline is a 1-1 stalemate, reflecting a tight contest with a modest 44% chance both teams find the net. With only a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals, fans should anticipate a relatively low-scoring game; remember, these projections are statistical estimates and not certainties—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.04 – 1.05

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 35%

Under 65%

Both teams to score

Yes 44%

No 56%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Groningen 2–2 Ajax
Oct 2024 Ajax 3–1 Groningen