PSV Eindhoven vs Heracles Prediction

Eredivisie 24/25 · Wed 14 May, 20:00
PSV Eindhoven
41 Full time
Heracles
PSV Eindhoven 4–1 Heracles

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (85%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 85%
Draw 9%
Away 5%

💡 PSV Eindhoven are strong favourites — roughly 9 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 95.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 95.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1678 v 1470 PSV Eindhoven rated higher
Form Index WWWWW v DWLLW PSV Eindhoven 3.0 · Heracles 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on PSV Eindhoven v Heracles

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Why we predict this

  • PSV Eindhoven is the stronger side on Power Rating (1678 vs 1470).
  • PSV Eindhoven is in clearly better recent form (3.0 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (3.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
PSV Eindhoven
Form Index
PSV Eindhoven
Goal expectation
PSV Eindhoven
Home advantage
PSV Eindhoven

Green = favours PSV Eindhoven · Blue = favours Heracles. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
PSV EindhovenWWWWW3.0 ppg
HeraclesDWLLW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
PSV Eindhoven1678
Heracles1470
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model88% · 9% · 3%
Power Rating73% · 12% · 15%
Machine-learning86% · 12% · 2%

AI match preview

PSV Eindhoven enter this Eredivisie clash as clear favorites, with an 85% projected chance of securing a home win against Heracles, supported by a strong confidence rating of 95/100. The model forecasts a dominant performance from PSV, expecting 3.40 goals scored and a likely 3-0 victory, while the probability of over 2.5 goals stands at 76%. Although both teams scoring is less likely at 45%, these projections are statistical estimates and should be considered with caution—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

3.40 – 0.61

Most likely score

3-0

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 76%

Under 24%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Philips Stadion Eindhoven, Netherlands Capacity 35,000 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 PSV Eindhoven 4–1 Heracles
Aug 2024 Heracles 1–3 PSV Eindhoven