Twente vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Eredivisie 24/25 · Wed 14 May, 20:00
Twente
23 Full time
AZ Alkmaar
Twente 2–3 AZ Alkmaar

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (41%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 41%
Draw 26%
Away 34%

💡 Twente have a slight edge — leaning Twente, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 42.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1559 v 1568 AZ Alkmaar rated higher
Form Index DDLWW v LLDWW Twente 1.6 · AZ Alkmaar 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Twente v AZ Alkmaar

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1559 vs 1568).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
AZ Alkmaar
Form Index
Twente
Goal expectation
Twente
Home advantage
Twente

Green = favours Twente · Blue = favours AZ Alkmaar. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
TwenteDDLWW1.6 ppg
AZ AlkmaarLLDWW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Twente1559
AZ Alkmaar1568
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model39% · 28% · 33%
Power Rating45% · 22% · 33%
Machine-learning50% · 18% · 32%

AI match preview

Twente hosts AZ Alkmaar in an Eredivisie clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 41%, though a draw or away victory remain plausible outcomes. Both teams are projected to score, with an expected goals tally close to 1.5 for Twente and 1.36 for AZ, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline. With a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and 59% probability for both teams to score, this match promises a competitive encounter; remember these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.47 – 1.36

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 54%

Under 46%

Both teams to score

Yes 59%

No 41%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Twente 2–3 AZ Alkmaar
Dec 2024 AZ Alkmaar 1–0 Twente