Utrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction

Eredivisie 24/25 · Wed 14 May, 20:00
Utrecht
11 Full time
Sparta Rotterdam
Utrecht 1–1 Sparta Rotterdam

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (49%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 49%
Draw 27%
Away 25%

💡 Utrecht are favourites — about 49 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 55.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 55.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1589 v 1494 Utrecht rated higher
Form Index DWWWL v WWDLW Utrecht 2.0 · Sparta Rotterdam 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Utrecht v Sparta Rotterdam

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Why we predict this

  • Utrecht is the stronger side on Power Rating (1589 vs 1494).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Utrecht
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Utrecht

Green = favours Utrecht · Blue = favours Sparta Rotterdam. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
UtrechtDWWWL2.0 ppg
Sparta RotterdamWWDLW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Utrecht1589
Sparta Rotterdam1494
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model34% · 31% · 36%
Power Rating62% · 13% · 25%
Machine-learning39% · 41% · 20%

AI match preview

Utrecht hosts Sparta Rotterdam in what promises to be a closely contested Eredivisie clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 49% probability. The expected goals are nearly even at 1.21 to 1.26, reflecting the tight nature of the encounter, and a 1-1 draw is the most likely scoreline. With just a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% probability of both teams scoring, fans should anticipate a balanced match; remember these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.21 – 1.26

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 45%

Under 55%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Utrecht 1–1 Sparta Rotterdam
Nov 2024 Sparta Rotterdam 1–4 Utrecht