Heracles vs Nijmegen Prediction

Eredivisie 24/25 · Sun 18 May, 14:30
Heracles
12 Full time
Nijmegen
Heracles 1–2 Nijmegen

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (42%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 42%
Draw 26%
Away 32%

💡 Heracles have a slight edge — leaning Heracles, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 45.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 45.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1464 v 1500 Nijmegen rated higher
Form Index WLLWL v WLDWW Heracles 1.2 · Nijmegen 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Heracles v Nijmegen

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1464 vs 1500).
  • Nijmegen is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Nijmegen
Form Index
Nijmegen
Goal expectation
Heracles
Home advantage
Heracles

Green = favours Heracles · Blue = favours Nijmegen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
HeraclesWLLWL1.2 ppg
NijmegenWLDWW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Heracles1464
Nijmegen1500
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model44% · 30% · 26%
Power Rating41% · 24% · 35%
Machine-learning45% · 20% · 36%

AI match preview

Heracles host Nijmegen in an Eredivisie clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 42% chance of victory, while a draw and away win are also plausible outcomes. The expected goals suggest a tight contest, with Heracles marginally favored to score 1.41 goals against Nijmegen's 1.05, and the most likely scoreline projected as 1-1. With both teams expected to find the net about half the time and under 2.5 goals being slightly more probable, this match could be finely balanced—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.41 – 1.05

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 45%

Under 55%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Heracles 1–2 Nijmegen
Sept 2024 Nijmegen 1–2 Heracles