Sparta Rotterdam vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction

Eredivisie 24/25 · Sun 18 May, 14:30
Sparta Rotterdam 1–3 PSV Eindhoven

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (71%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 14%
Draw 15%
Away 71%

💡 PSV Eindhoven are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 87.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 87.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1499 v 1684 PSV Eindhoven rated higher
Form Index WDLWD v WWWWW Sparta Rotterdam 1.6 · PSV Eindhoven 3.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • PSV Eindhoven is the stronger side on Power Rating (1684 vs 1499).
  • PSV Eindhoven is in clearly better recent form (3.0 vs 1.6 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
PSV Eindhoven
Form Index
PSV Eindhoven
Goal expectation
PSV Eindhoven
Home advantage
Sparta Rotterdam

Green = favours Sparta Rotterdam · Blue = favours PSV Eindhoven. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Sparta RotterdamWDLWD1.6 ppg
PSV EindhovenWWWWW3.0 ppg
Power Rating
Sparta Rotterdam1499
PSV Eindhoven1684
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model13% · 18% · 69%
Power Rating28% · 16% · 56%
Machine-learning8% · 10% · 82%

AI match preview

Sparta Rotterdam hosts PSV Eindhoven in an Eredivisie clash where the visitors hold a strong 71% chance of securing victory, with the model projecting a 1-2 scoreline. The match is expected to be relatively high scoring, with a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance both teams will find the net. These projections are based on statistical models and should be considered thoughtfully; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.11 – 2.63

Most likely score

1-2

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 72%

Under 28%

Both teams to score

Yes 63%

No 37%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Sparta Rotterdam 1–3 PSV Eindhoven
Oct 2024 PSV Eindhoven 2–1 Sparta Rotterdam