Zwolle vs Groningen Prediction

Eredivisie 24/25 · Sun 18 May, 14:30
Zwolle
20 Full time
Groningen
Zwolle 2–0 Groningen

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (52%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 52%
Draw 23%
Away 25%

💡 Zwolle are favourites — about 52 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 59.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 59.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1490 v 1475 Zwolle rated higher
Form Index DLWDW v LWWLD Zwolle 1.6 · Groningen 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Zwolle v Groningen

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1490 vs 1475).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Zwolle
Form Index
Zwolle
Goal expectation
Zwolle
Home advantage
Zwolle

Green = favours Zwolle · Blue = favours Groningen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ZwolleDLWDW1.6 ppg
GroningenLWWLD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Zwolle1490
Groningen1475
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model60% · 25% · 16%
Power Rating49% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning65% · 16% · 19%

AI match preview

Zwolle holds a slight edge with a 52% chance to claim victory over Groningen, supported by a model confidence of 59/100 and an expected goals advantage of 1.86 to 0.86. Despite this, the most probable scoreline is a 1-1 draw, reflecting the competitive balance between the sides. With a roughly even split on over 2.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (50%), this Eredivisie clash promises to be closely contested—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.86 – 0.86

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 51%

Under 49%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Zwolle 2–0 Groningen
Dec 2024 Groningen 0–0 Zwolle