Excelsior vs Telstar Prediction

Eredivisie 25/26 · Sat 17 Jan, 19:00
Excelsior
22 Full time
Telstar
Excelsior 2–2 Telstar

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (42%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 42%
Draw 27%
Away 31%

💡 Excelsior have a slight edge — leaning Excelsior, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 44.4/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 44.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1445 v 1447 Telstar rated higher
Form Index WWLWL v LDDWL Excelsior 1.8 · Telstar 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Excelsior v Telstar

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1445 vs 1447).
  • Excelsior is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Excelsior
Goal expectation
Excelsior
Home advantage
Excelsior

Green = favours Excelsior · Blue = favours Telstar. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ExcelsiorWWLWL1.8 ppg
TelstarLDDWL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Excelsior1445
Telstar1447
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model32% · 41% · 28%
Power Rating46% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning45% · 21% · 34%

AI match preview

Excelsior hosts Telstar in an Eredivisie clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 42%, though a draw or away victory remain plausible outcomes. Both teams are projected to score modestly, with expected goals just under one each, making a goalless draw the most likely scoreline. With low probabilities for over 2.5 goals (18%) and both teams scoring (28%), this encounter could be a tight, low-scoring affair; remember these are statistical projections and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.75 – 0.69

Most likely score

0-0

25% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 18%

Under 82%

Both teams to score

Yes 28%

No 72%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Excelsior 2–2 Telstar
Nov 2025 Telstar 2–2 Excelsior