NAC Breda vs Nijmegen Prediction

Eredivisie 25/26 · Sat 17 Jan, 20:00
NAC Breda
34 Full time
Nijmegen
NAC Breda 3–4 Nijmegen

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (46%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 31%
Draw 23%
Away 46%

💡 Nijmegen are favourites — about 46 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 49.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 49.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1430 v 1562 Nijmegen rated higher
Form Index LLDLD v WWWDD NAC Breda 0.4 · Nijmegen 2.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on NAC Breda v Nijmegen

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Why we predict this

  • Nijmegen is the stronger side on Power Rating (1562 vs 1430).
  • Nijmegen is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Nijmegen
Form Index
Nijmegen
Goal expectation
Nijmegen
Home advantage
NAC Breda

Green = favours NAC Breda · Blue = favours Nijmegen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NAC BredaLLDLD0.4 ppg
NijmegenWWWDD2.2 ppg
Power Rating
NAC Breda1430
Nijmegen1562
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model27% · 27% · 46%
Power Rating32% · 21% · 47%
Machine-learning13% · 11% · 76%

AI match preview

NAC Breda hosts Nijmegen in an Eredivisie clash where the model gives the away side a 46% chance to win, slightly edging out the home team at 31%. With expected goals favoring Nijmegen at 1.66 to 1.24, the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, reflecting a balanced contest. There's a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance both teams will score, but as always, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.24 – 1.66

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 59%

No 41%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 NAC Breda 3–4 Nijmegen
Aug 2025 Nijmegen 3–0 NAC Breda