Heerenveen vs Groningen Prediction

Eredivisie 25/26 · Sun 18 Jan, 11:15
Heerenveen
02 Full time
Groningen
Heerenveen 0–2 Groningen

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (48%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 48%
Draw 27%
Away 26%

💡 Heerenveen are favourites — about 48 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 53.4/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 53.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1521 v 1510 Heerenveen rated higher
Form Index LLWWD v LWWDD Heerenveen 1.4 · Groningen 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Heerenveen v Groningen

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1521 vs 1510).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Heerenveen
Form Index
Groningen
Goal expectation
Heerenveen
Home advantage
Heerenveen

Green = favours Heerenveen · Blue = favours Groningen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
HeerenveenLLWWD1.4 ppg
GroningenLWWDD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Heerenveen1521
Groningen1510
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model43% · 26% · 31%
Power Rating49% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning52% · 33% · 16%

AI match preview

Heerenveen and Groningen are set for a closely contested Eredivisie clash, with the model giving the home side a slight edge at 48% to claim victory. Both teams are expected to find the net, with a 65% probability of BTTS and a 63% chance that the match will see over 2.5 goals, suggesting an open and competitive encounter. The most likely scoreline remains a 1-1 draw, highlighting the tight nature of this fixture. Remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.76 – 1.48

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 63%

Under 37%

Both teams to score

Yes 65%

No 35%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Heerenveen 0–2 Groningen
Aug 2025 Groningen 2–1 Heerenveen