Feyenoord vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction

Eredivisie 25/26 · Sun 18 Jan, 15:45
Feyenoord
34 Full time
Sparta Rotterdam
Feyenoord 3–4 Sparta Rotterdam

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (64%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 64%
Draw 20%
Away 15%

💡 Feyenoord are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 76.7/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 76.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1568 v 1469 Feyenoord rated higher
Form Index WWLDD v LWLWW Feyenoord 1.6 · Sparta Rotterdam 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Feyenoord v Sparta Rotterdam

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Why we predict this

  • Feyenoord is the stronger side on Power Rating (1568 vs 1469).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Feyenoord
Form Index
Sparta Rotterdam
Goal expectation
Feyenoord
Home advantage
Feyenoord

Green = favours Feyenoord · Blue = favours Sparta Rotterdam. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FeyenoordWWLDD1.6 ppg
Sparta RotterdamLWLWW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Feyenoord1568
Sparta Rotterdam1469
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model59% · 23% · 18%
Power Rating63% · 12% · 25%
Machine-learning71% · 25% · 3%

AI match preview

Feyenoord are favored to win this Eredivisie clash against Sparta Rotterdam, with a 64% probability according to our model, reflecting their stronger expected performance at home. The match is projected to be competitive, with an expected goals tally of 2.13 for Feyenoord and 1.12 for Sparta, and a 61% chance that both teams will score. While a home win is the most likely outcome, the possibility of a draw remains plausible, so fans should enjoy the game with an eye on these statistical insights and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.13 – 1.12

Most likely score

1-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 63%

Under 37%

Both teams to score

Yes 61%

No 39%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

De Kuip Rotterdam, Netherlands Capacity 47,500 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Feyenoord 3–4 Sparta Rotterdam
Aug 2025 Sparta Rotterdam 0–4 Feyenoord