PSV Eindhoven vs NAC Breda Prediction

Eredivisie 25/26 · Sat 24 Jan, 19:00
PSV Eindhoven
22 Full time
NAC Breda
PSV Eindhoven 2–2 NAC Breda

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (73%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 73%
Draw 16%
Away 10%

💡 PSV Eindhoven are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 89.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 89.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1682 v 1421 PSV Eindhoven rated higher
Form Index WWWWW v LDLDL PSV Eindhoven 3.0 · NAC Breda 0.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • PSV Eindhoven is the stronger side on Power Rating (1682 vs 1421).
  • PSV Eindhoven is in clearly better recent form (3.0 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (3.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
PSV Eindhoven
Form Index
PSV Eindhoven
Goal expectation
PSV Eindhoven
Home advantage
PSV Eindhoven

Green = favours PSV Eindhoven · Blue = favours NAC Breda. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
PSV EindhovenWWWWW3.0 ppg
NAC BredaLDLDL0.4 ppg
Power Rating
PSV Eindhoven1682
NAC Breda1421
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model78% · 14% · 8%
Power Rating76% · 12% · 12%
Machine-learning81% · 17% · 2%

AI match preview

PSV Eindhoven enter this Eredivisie clash with a strong statistical edge, holding a 73% probability of securing a home win against NAC Breda, who stand at just 10%. The model projects an expected goal tally of 3.03 for PSV compared to 0.98 for NAC, suggesting a likely 3-0 outcome with a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals scored. While both teams scoring is slightly favored at 60%, these projections are probabilistic and should be used responsibly—gamble only if you are 18 or older.

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

3.03 – 0.98

Most likely score

3-0

8% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 76%

Under 24%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%

No 40%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Philips Stadion Eindhoven, Netherlands Capacity 35,000 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 PSV Eindhoven 2–2 NAC Breda
Nov 2025 NAC Breda 0–1 PSV Eindhoven