Utrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction

Eredivisie 25/26 · Sun 25 Jan, 15:45
Utrecht
01 Full time
Sparta Rotterdam
Utrecht 0–1 Sparta Rotterdam

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (50%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 50%
Draw 26%
Away 23%

💡 Utrecht are favourites — about 50 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 56.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 56.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1501 v 1485 Utrecht rated higher
Form Index DDDLL v WLWWW Utrecht 0.6 · Sparta Rotterdam 2.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Utrecht v Sparta Rotterdam

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1501 vs 1485).
  • Sparta Rotterdam is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Utrecht
Form Index
Sparta Rotterdam
Goal expectation
Utrecht
Home advantage
Utrecht

Green = favours Utrecht · Blue = favours Sparta Rotterdam. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
UtrechtDDDLL0.6 ppg
Sparta RotterdamWLWWW2.4 ppg
Power Rating
Utrecht1501
Sparta Rotterdam1485
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model56% · 25% · 20%
Power Rating49% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning54% · 34% · 12%

AI match preview

Utrecht hosts Sparta Rotterdam in an Eredivisie clash where the home side holds a 50% chance of victory, according to model projections. While Utrecht is expected to edge the game with 1.94 goals against Sparta’s 1.10, a 1-1 draw is still considered the most likely scoreline. With a 59% probability for both over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, this match promises attacking action, but remember these are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.94 – 1.10

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 59%

Under 41%

Both teams to score

Yes 59%

No 41%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Utrecht 0–1 Sparta Rotterdam
Aug 2025 Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 Utrecht