NAC Breda vs Excelsior Prediction

Eredivisie 25/26 · Fri 6 Feb, 19:00
NAC Breda
02 Full time
Excelsior
NAC Breda 0–2 Excelsior

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (49%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 49%
Draw 26%
Away 26%

💡 NAC Breda are favourites — about 49 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 54.8/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 54.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1430 v 1453 Excelsior rated higher
Form Index LDLDD v LDDDD NAC Breda 0.6 · Excelsior 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on NAC Breda v Excelsior

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1430 vs 1453).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Excelsior
Form Index
Excelsior
Goal expectation
NAC Breda
Home advantage
NAC Breda

Green = favours NAC Breda · Blue = favours Excelsior. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NAC BredaLDLDD0.6 ppg
ExcelsiorLDDDD0.8 ppg
Power Rating
NAC Breda1430
Excelsior1453
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model50% · 27% · 23%
Power Rating43% · 23% · 34%
Machine-learning47% · 24% · 29%

AI match preview

NAC Breda hosts Excelsior in an Eredivisie clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 49% chance of victory, according to model projections. Expected goals favor NAC Breda at 1.70 compared to Excelsior's 1.10, yet the most likely scoreline remains a 1-1 draw, reflecting the close contest anticipated. With a 53% probability for over 2.5 goals and 56% chance both teams score, fans can expect an open game—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.70 – 1.10

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 53%

Under 47%

Both teams to score

Yes 56%

No 44%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 NAC Breda 0–2 Excelsior
Nov 2025 Excelsior 1–0 NAC Breda