Nijmegen vs Heracles Prediction

Eredivisie 25/26 · Sat 7 Feb, 15:30
Nijmegen
41 Full time
Heracles
Nijmegen 4–1 Heracles

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (71%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 71%
Draw 17%
Away 12%

💡 Nijmegen are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 86.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 86.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1593 v 1407 Nijmegen rated higher
Form Index DDWWW v LLLLW Nijmegen 2.2 · Heracles 0.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Nijmegen is the stronger side on Power Rating (1593 vs 1407).
  • Nijmegen is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (3.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Nijmegen
Form Index
Nijmegen
Goal expectation
Nijmegen
Home advantage
Nijmegen

Green = favours Nijmegen · Blue = favours Heracles. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NijmegenDDWWW2.2 ppg
HeraclesLLLLW0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Nijmegen1593
Heracles1407
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model83% · 11% · 6%
Power Rating71% · 12% · 17%
Machine-learning72% · 18% · 10%

AI match preview

Nijmegen enters this Eredivisie clash with a strong statistical edge, holding a 71% probability of securing a home win against Heracles, with an expected goal tally of 3.51 to 1.02 favoring the hosts. The model suggests a 3-1 scoreline is the most likely outcome, supported by an 83% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% probability that both teams will score. These projections highlight the potential for an open and high-scoring contest, but as always, remember these are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

3.51 – 1.02

Most likely score

3-1

8% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 83%

Under 17%

Both teams to score

Yes 63%

No 37%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Nijmegen 4–1 Heracles
Aug 2025 Heracles 1–4 Nijmegen